Merger Arbitrage Spread Performance – 04 November 2018

This is the Merger Arbitrage Spread Performance November 4, 2018 analysis. A review of the top 20 tradeable cash based merger arb spreads in the USA for the week 29th Oct – 2nd November. Included in this week’s report are the winners, losers and overall performance of the portfolio. This report is based upon the Merger Arbitrage Limited top 20 (T20) list of cash merger arbitrage spreads available as at 28th October.

Winners

This week’s star performer yet again was NXTM gaining 2.37%. This continues the upward move beginning with last weeks announcement by the German firm moving the expected completition date to November 5th. Following this weeks earnings announcemnet the stock has risen yet again but still has an additional 5% left in the spread. Last weeks worst performer, RCII1.87% comes in second this week following its own earnings announcement and posting consistent gains throughout the week. In third place also showing a strong performance is IDTI 1.52% which was the second largest faller last week. Solid gains throught the week also followed it earnings announcement. AVA  was another rebounder this week in 4th place up 1.50%. Results are due out Monday. Other climbers of note were CA up 1.09%, AFSI 0.98%USG 0.99% and ABCD 0.63%.
 

Losers

This week’s worst performer, ECYT dropped 0.59% a following the filing of its preliminary form 14A Proxy Statement. The only other fallers this week were minor and included VVC 0.13%, DNB 0.05% and MZOR 0.07%
 

Portfolio Performance

Winners thoroughly out-paced the losers this week by 16 to 4, mirroring the volatility observed in the broader market and being an exact reversal of last weeks score. The portfolio performance as predicted with such a winning ratio for the top 20 was a very healthy 0.57% largely due to the superior number of positive performers rather than any single target stock and there being only one significant loser. However, this gain is out shone by the extremely attractive gain recorded in the SPY of 2.47%. The IQ Merger Arbitrage Fund ETF (MNA) was also up 0.76%. This outperformance of the cash spreads could be due to the insufficient short hedge used in stock-for-stock deals.
MNA SPY VIX Returns Table 20181102

MNA SPY VIX Returns Table 20181102
*We have not included MRGR ETF for liquidity reasons. Click the table to read our Merger Arbitrage ETF Review and see a discussion of how liquidity and other factors affect the performance of these products.

And Finally…

The most recent list of the largest spreads is already available, and you can check out the rules for inclusion here. Our free merger arbitrage spread calculator is also available for FREE download. This can be used to value the spread of any stock-for-stock deals you may be interested in.

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